Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.203681 0.236381 0.272678 0.315964 0.366200 0.422691 0.491074
2025-05-18 0.148959 0.191552 0.243880 0.312948 0.401821 0.512491 0.661049
2025-05-25 0.117247 0.161758 0.220387 0.303359 0.417988 0.571131 0.791929
2025-06-01 0.101435 0.148215 0.213435 0.311158 0.454256 0.656781 0.966425
2025-06-08 0.087857 0.134900 0.203787 0.312226 0.479225 0.727680 1.127397
2025-06-15 0.078383 0.125807 0.198364 0.317743 0.510076 0.809326 1.313285
2025-06-22 0.068061 0.113722 0.186420 0.310933 0.519946 0.858672 1.453384
2025-06-29 0.060370 0.104696 0.177919 0.308089 0.535078 0.917110 1.614331
2025-07-06 0.054753 0.098320 0.172820 0.309961 0.557800 0.989992 1.807968
2025-07-13 0.052001 0.096517 0.175173 0.324846 0.604669 1.109378 2.098249
2025-07-20 0.048920 0.093683 0.175264 0.335454 0.644724 1.220674 2.386814
2025-07-27 0.045981 0.090715 0.174685 0.344575 0.682783 1.332134 2.688791
2025-08-03 0.042384 0.086137 0.170717 0.347028 0.708928 1.425265 2.969551
2025-08-10 0.038525 0.080581 0.164234 0.343740 0.723323 1.497240 3.217343
2025-08-17 0.034402 0.073960 0.154817 0.333198 0.721272 1.535226 3.397911
2025-08-24 0.032564 0.071916 0.154522 0.341771 0.760636 1.663883 3.790943
2025-08-31 0.030252 0.068554 0.151039 0.342946 0.783864 1.760356 4.124116
2025-09-07 0.028568 0.066376 0.149844 0.349011 0.818654 1.886074 4.540104
2025-09-14 0.026022 0.061925 0.143094 0.341524 0.821226 1.938937 4.790375
2025-09-21 0.024043 0.058567 0.138447 0.338398 0.833672 2.016011 5.109077
2025-09-28 0.022590 0.056298 0.136078 0.340456 0.858892 2.126305 5.524622
2025-10-05 0.022125 0.056399 0.139360 0.356821 0.921619 2.335319 6.219706
2025-10-12 0.021393 0.055743 0.140719 0.368483 0.973768 2.523933 6.885813